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HVAC & plumbing · August 2025 – February 2026

Same number of jobs. Half a million dollars more revenue.

A residential and light-commercial contractor running about $4M a year, coming off the worst year on record. Eleven of twelve months down. October alone off 40%. Seven months after the work started, revenue was up 31.2% — and the reason is not the one most owners expect.

THE YEAR BEFORE · 2023 TO 2024

−17.7%

Eleven of twelve months down year over year. No marketing partner.

SEVEN MONTHS IN · AUG 2025 TO FEB 2026

+31.2%

$523,160 in additional revenue against the same seven months a year earlier.

Where it started

This company had just finished its worst year on record. Revenue fell 17.7% from 2023 to 2024, with eleven of twelve months down against the year before. The fourth quarter collapsed outright — October came in 40% below the prior October, November 35.7% below.

Marketing work began in August 2025. What follows is the seven months after that, set against the identical seven months a year earlier.

Month by month

MONTHLY REVENUE, YEAR OVER YEAR

Prior year Engagement period
Aug
$395,240
$344,330−12.9%
Sep
$311,590
$325,350+4.4%
Oct
$203,000
$391,300+92.8%
Nov
$154,830
$265,400+71.4%
Dec
$185,320
$240,650+29.9%
Jan
$211,030
$266,600+26.3%
Feb
$213,130
$363,670+70.6%

Monthly revenue, August 2025 – February 2026 against the same months a year earlier. Bar length is proportional to revenue. Source: client revenue records.

August was a build month and finished down 12.9%. From September forward every single month gained.

The reversal lands hardest exactly where the prior year had been weakest. October rose 92.8% and November rose 71.4% — the two months that had fallen 40.1% and 35.7% the year before. The pattern carried into the new year: January and February 2026 came in at $630,270 against $424,160, up 48.6%, with February alone up 70.6%.

The three-year line

ANNUAL REVENUE AND JOBS SOLD

2023 $4.54M
2024 $3.73M
2025 $3.86M

Jobs sold across the same three years: 693, then 554, then 496. The engagement covers only the final five months of 2025. Source: client revenue records.

2025 finished 3.5% ahead of 2024. That is a modest full-year figure and it understates what happened, because the work only covered the last five months of the year. The first seven months of 2025 were still running on the prior trajectory.

The decline stopped in the same quarter the work started, and the recovery came out of the months that had fallen hardest.

The finding that matters

Here is the part that deserves attention, and it is not the revenue line.

Across August through December, the company sold exactly 203 jobs in 2024 and exactly 203 jobs in 2025. Identical. The same period produced $317,050 more revenue on the same number of closed jobs.

AVERAGE REVENUE PER JOB SOLD, AUGUST–DECEMBER

2024
203 jobs
$6,158
2025
203 jobs
$7,719

Job counts identical at 203 in both periods. Source: client revenue and job records.

This is not a lead-volume win. It is a job-quality win.

The entire lift came from average job value, up 25.4%. Over the full year the same pattern holds in a harder form — 2025 closed fewer jobs than 2024, 496 against 554, down 10.5%, and still finished ahead on revenue, because average job value rose 15.6%.

More revenue arrived per closed job. That is a function of which jobs came through the door, how they were quoted, and what got sold once the technician was standing in the house.

Worth stating plainly: the available data cannot fully separate the causes. Which of those three levers did the most work is not something these records can settle, and this page does not claim otherwise.

Why this matters for a performance partnership

Under a conventional retainer this engagement reports as a straightforward win. Revenue up 31%, the worst quarter of the prior year reversed, the new year opening 49% ahead. The invoice goes out either way.

The Upside is built differently. Compensation sits on top of gross profit measured against a trailing baseline, which means a revenue line alone does not get anybody paid. The revenue has to be real, it has to be traceable, and the profit underneath it has to survive.

This account is the clearest argument in the portfolio for that structure, precisely because the growth did not come from more leads. It came from what happened to the jobs after they arrived. A partner paid on leads would have been paid nothing here. A partner paid on results would have been paid well, and for the right reason.

It also shows where the model needs teeth. Without lead tracking, neither side can prove attribution. Without a trade-level revenue split, neither side can see which half of the business is carrying the other. Without a spend baseline, efficiency is an assertion. That is why the arrangement includes the books and the reporting infrastructure rather than just the ad account — not as an overreach, but because a partnership paid on outcomes has to be able to see the outcome.

Scope of this case study. Figures come from the client's revenue records, job-sold counts, and Google Ads reporting, covering January 2023 through February 2026. The engagement period is defined as August 2025 forward. This page reports revenue, jobs sold, and average job value. It does not report gross profit, margin, lead volume, or close rate — none of which are present in the source data. The 2026 figures cover January and February only. Client identity, customer records, and location details have been withheld.

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Dallas–Fort Worth  ·  214.466.8332